The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Central Ballester 28.4%
Draw 32.9%
Atlas General Rodríguez 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
31.4%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
30.9%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Ballester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Ballester's form might have worsened.
Atlas General Rodríguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlas General Rodríguez's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Ballester than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Ballester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas General Rodríguez than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlas General Rodríguez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
62.5%
25%
Central Ballester - Atlas General Rodríguez Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Central Ballester will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Atlas will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Scally P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 2, Perez N. ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 12).
Central Ballester has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Atlas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Ballester won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Central Ballester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).