Match Info

Primera C - Round 12

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Puerto Nuevo		Central Ballester

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.82	2.72
	2.69	2.64	2.67
	2.84	2.58	2.84	Watch
	2.7	2.63	2.75
	2.7	2.7	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.65)	2.67 ↓ (2.85)	2.74 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puerto Nuevo
33.4%

Draw
33.7%

Central Ballester
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

32.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Central Ballester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Ballester than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Puerto Nuevo - Central Ballester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
84', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 2.

Recent form of Puerto Nuevo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Central Ballester has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Puerto Nuevo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Puerto Nuevo - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.97%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Puerto Nuevo
Argentinian Primera C
10.05.26	Lugano - Puerto Nuevo	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Puerto Nuevo - Leandro N. Alem	1:4 ✺
26.04.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Puerto Nuevo	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - Puerto Nuevo	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Puerto Nuevo - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTTT
- Central Ballester
Argentinian Primera C
09.05.26	Central Ballester - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - Central Ballester	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Central Ballester - El Porvenir	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Leandro N. Alem - Central Ballester	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Central Ballester - Fénix	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
21.09.25	Puerto Nuevo - Central Ballester	0:2
24.11.24	Central Ballester - Puerto Nuevo	0:2
23.06.24	Puerto Nuevo - Central Ballester	0:0
Argentinian Primera D
10.11.21	Puerto Nuevo - Central Ballester	4:0
01.08.21	Central Ballester - Puerto Nuevo	0:0
04.12.20	Puerto Nuevo - Central Ballester	0:2
02.11.19	Puerto Nuevo - Central Ballester	1:1

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