The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Central Ballester 46.7%
Draw 29.4%
Deportivo Muñiz 23.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36%
30.4%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
28.3%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Ballester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Ballester's performance.
Deportivo Muñiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Muñiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Ballester than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central Ballester that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Muñiz than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Muñiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Central Ballester - Deportivo Muñiz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Malmoria I. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Navarra L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 1 - 2, Arrais M. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Ballester won 4.
Central Ballester has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Deportivo Muñiz is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Central Ballester could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Central Ballester has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:16 (averaging 1.4:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Central Ballester against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:6 goals (averaging 1.6:0.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Muñiz - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 33.55%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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