Match Info

A-League Women - Round 10

Date: 31 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Central Coast Stadium (Gosford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Central Coast Mariners		Brisbane Roar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.55	2.72
	2.19	4.02	2.79	Watch
	2.1	3.25	2.9
	2.14	3.59	3.1	Watch
	2.1	3.75	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (3.51)	3.63 ↑ (3.46)	2.86 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners
42.8%

Draw
25.2%

Brisbane Roar
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

27.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

26.8%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Coast Mariners's performance.

Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Roar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central Coast Mariners that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Roar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Grove A. (G) 5. Martin A. 4. Thew B. 18. King (C) 23. Baumann L. 16. Quilligan T. 14. Kraszula G. 6. Gomez I. 22. Trimis P. 11. Rasmussen A. 26. Di Sipio I.	1. Lincoln C. (G) 7. Hayashi M. (C) 2. Varley L. 5. Medwin A. 27. Miller A. 4. Stephenson K. 32. Woods A. 24. Freier S. 10. Kuilamu G. 15. Meyers K. 17. Jansen B.
Substitutes
13. Buchanan K. 9. Farrow M. 12. Fuller T. 25. Hughes B. 10. Levin T. 30. Varley S. (G)	3. Brown D. 12. Franco T. (G) 14. Kruger Z. 22. Piazza A. 11. Seidl M. 8. Studer J.
Coaches
Babington K.	Smith A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Di Sipio I. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Kuilamu G. ⚽,
18', 1 - 2, Freier S. ⚽, Miller A. (A),
29', Kuilamu G. ↓, Kruger Z. ↑,
35', Varley L. 🟨,
36', Quilligan T. ↓, Farrow M. ↑,
45+9', 2 - 2, Rasmussen A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Gomez I. 🟨,
55', 3 - 2, Rasmussen A. ⚽, Gomez I. (A),
61', Varley L. ↓, Seidl M. ↑,
72', Meyers K. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
72', Kruger Z. ↓, Studer J. ↑,
81', Di Sipio I. ↓, Levin T. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Brisbane Roar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners Women
Australian A-League Women
27.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory	3:3 ✺
20.12.25	Canberra United - Central Coast Mariners	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	4:1 ✺
23.11.25	Sydney FC - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTWWL
- Brisbane Roar Women
Australian A-League Women
12.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Brisbane Roar - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:1 ✺
07.11.25	Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar	2:3 ✺
01.11.25	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
30.03.25	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	2:1
15.12.24	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	2:1
09.03.24	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	0:2
11.11.23	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	1:1

Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide