Match Info

A-League Women - Round 9

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Central Coast Stadium (Gosford)

Referee: Malau-Aduli P. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Central Coast Mariners		Melbourne Victory

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.92	Watch
	3.6	3.66	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.25	1.85
	3.42	3.34	1.96	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.51)	3.39 ↓ (3.53)	1.91 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners
25.9%

Draw
26.7%

Melbourne Victory
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

25.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.5%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Melbourne Victory (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Melbourne Victory (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Grove A. (G) 5. Martin A. 3. Barwick-Grey E. 18. King (C) 23. Baumann L. 22. Trimis P. 14. Kraszula G. 16. Quilligan T. 26. Di Sipio I. 6. Gomez I. 11. Rasmussen A.	1. Newbon C. (G) 24. Pickett L. 3. Bunge C. 18. Morrison K. (C) 81. Maher G. 5. Sakalis S. 23. Lowe R. 10. Pollicina R. 66. Jancevski A. 16. White K. 9. Furphy H.
Substitutes
13. Buchanan K. 77. Clough C. 21. Familton E. 9. Farrow M. 10. Levin T. 30. Varley S. (G)	4. Blissett C. 7. O'Grady E. 6. Ray T. 8. Saveska S. 28. Techera S. 30. Woodward P. (G)
Coaches
Babington K.	Hopkins J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Trimis P. ⚽, Gomez I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Maher G. ↓, Ray T. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Rasmussen A. ⚽, Gomez I. (A),
55', Pickett L. 🟨,
61', 3 - 0, Rasmussen A. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
65', Pickett L. ↓, Techera S. ↑,
65', Lowe R. ↓, Saveska S. ↑,
67', Gomez I. ↓, Levin T. ↑,
70', White K. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,
80', Rasmussen A. ↓, Familton E. ↑,
80', Trimis P. ↓, Farrow M. ↑,
80', King ↓, Buchanan K. ↑,
88', Quilligan T. ↓, Clough C. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Pollicina R. ⚽, Furphy H. (A),
90+3', 3 - 2, Sakalis S. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 3, O'Grady E. ⚽,
90+8', Trimis P. 🟨,
90+9', Di Sipio I. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Central Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Central Coast has had a series of away games.

Melbourne Victory might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners Women
Australian A-League Women
20.12.25	Canberra United - Central Coast Mariners	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets	4:1 ✺
23.11.25	Sydney FC - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWLL
- Melbourne Victory Women
Australian A-League Women
23.12.25	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	2:1 ✺
19.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Melbourne Victory - Canberra United	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
15.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners	1:0
18.05.25	Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 penalties
11.04.25	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory	0:1
16.02.25	Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners	2:0
22.11.24	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory	1:1
14.04.24	Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners	0:1 penalties
10.02.24	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory	1:1

Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide