Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PERNAMBUCANO - ROUND 11

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Referee: Anderson L. M. (Bra)


	Central SC		Caruaru City

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.8	9.25
	1.25	4.6	9
	1.26	5.02	10.66
	1.25	5.25	10.5
	1.27	4.8	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.46)	4.89 ↑ (3.91)	9.76 ↑ (6.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central SC
72.2%

Draw
18.5%

Caruaru City
9.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.1%

23.2%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

20.6%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central SC's performance.

Caruaru City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caruaru City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central SC than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central SC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caruaru City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Central SC - Caruaru City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13 in the zone Campeonato Pernambucano (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Central PE is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caruaru City has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Central PE is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central SC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
26.02.23	Belo Jardim - Central SC	1:2 ✺
12.02.23	Maguary - Central SC	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Central SC - Petrolina	1:2 ✺
01.02.23	Central SC - Íbis	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Salgueiro - Central SC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLWT
- Caruaru City SC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
26.02.23	Caruaru City - Sport Recife	0:3 ✺
12.02.23	Petrolina - Caruaru City	2:0 ✺
08.02.23	Caruaru City - Maguary	2:3 ✺
01.02.23	Caruaru City - Salgueiro	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Íbis - Caruaru City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Central SC - Caruaru City

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Central SC - Caruaru City Predictions

Preview

Form

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