Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PERNAMBUCANO - ROUND 9

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Petrolina		Caruaru City

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.9	6.25
	1.45	3.65	5.8
	1.46	3.87	7.04
	1.4	3.8	7.5
	1.43	4.2	6.7
	1.43	4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.82)	3.9 ↑ (3.16)	6.65 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrolina
63.2%

Draw
23.2%

Caruaru City
13.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.2%

28.3%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

28%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petrolina's performance.

Caruaru City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caruaru City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrolina than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petrolina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caruaru City than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caruaru City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Petrolina - Caruaru City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Campeonato Pernambucano (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Petrolina is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caruaru City has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Petrolina is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrolina SFC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
05.02.23	Central SC - Petrolina	1:2 ✺
01.02.23	Petrolina - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Belo Jardim - Petrolina	1:2 ✺
26.01.23	Maguary - Petrolina	2:1 ✺
18.01.23	Petrolina - Íbis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWLT
- Caruaru City SC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
08.02.23	Caruaru City - Maguary	2:3 ✺
01.02.23	Caruaru City - Salgueiro	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Íbis - Caruaru City	3:1 ✺
26.01.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Caruaru City	1:0 ✺
19.01.23	Caruaru City - Retrô Brasil	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Petrolina - Caruaru City

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Petrolina - Caruaru City Predictions

Preview

Form

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