Match Info

Premier League - Championship Group - Round 23

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Central Stallions		Deren

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.80	1.90
	3.00	4.01	1.96
	2.02	3.98	2.95	Watch
	2.77	3.90	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.53)	3.92 ↓ (4.1)	2.24 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Stallions
34.7%

Draw
23.8%

Deren
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

22.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

22%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Stallions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Stallions's performance.

Deren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Stallions than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central Stallions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deren than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Central Stallions - Deren Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deren (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Usukh-Ireedui B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+7', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In recent matches, Central Stallions has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Deren is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Deren is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Central Stallions won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Stallions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Central Stallions	6	6	0	0	27:6	21	18
2	Deren	6	4	2	0	20:7	13	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Stallions FC
Mongolian Premier League
30.06.26	Ulaanbaatar - Central Stallions	2:3 ✺
24.06.26	Deren - Central Stallions	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Central Stallions - Ulaanbaatar	0:3 ✺
17.06.26	Central Stallions - Ulaanbaatar	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Deren - Central Stallions	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WLLWW
- Deren FC
Mongolian Premier League
30.06.26	Deren - Khangarid	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Deren - Central Stallions	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Khangarid - Deren	2:3 ✺
18.06.26	Khovd - Deren	0:6 ✺
14.06.26	Deren - Central Stallions	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mongolian Premier League
24.06.26	Deren - Central Stallions	2:0
14.06.26	Deren - Central Stallions	1:2
30.10.25	Central Stallions - Deren	1:0
02.07.25	Central Stallions - Deren	1:3

Central Stallions - Deren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide