Match Info

Coupe du Trone - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade El Bachir (Mohammedia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Morocco	SNRT Live


	Chabab Mohammedia		Union de Touarga

	1	X	2
	11	3.9	1.32
	14.75	3.63	1.34	Watch
	11.7	4.47	1.32	Watch
	11	3.9	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.11 ↑ (10)	3.98 ↑ (2.57)	1.33 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chabab Mohammedia
7.6%

Draw
23.1%

Union de Touarga
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.4%

32.9%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

7.2%

28.2%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chabab Mohammedia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Union de Touarga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union de Touarga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chabab Mohammedia than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union de Touarga than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Chabab Mohammedia - Union de Touarga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 4)
4', 0 - 1, El Khalej Y. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Erraoui Y. ⚽,
16', 1 - 2, Mourid A. ⚽,
19', 1 - 3, El Khalej T. ⚽,
33', 2 - 3, Sani W. ⚽,
41', 2 - 4, N'Diaye A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
75', 2 - 5, Chemlal M. ⚽,
89', 2 - 6, Zraa Y. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chabab Mohammedia won 1.

Chabab Mohammedia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Union de Touarga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Union de Touarga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Union de Touarga is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Union de Touarga to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Chabab Mohammedia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Chabab Mohammedia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chabab Mohammedia
Moroccan Excellence Cup
20.03.25	Olympic Safi - Chabab Mohammedia	3:2 ✺
Moroccan Botola
16.03.25	Chabab Mohammedia - Hassania Agadir	0:4 ✺
07.03.25	Union de Touarga - Chabab Mohammedia	2:1 ✺
27.02.25	Chabab Mohammedia - Moghreb Tétouan	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Maghreb Fez - Chabab Mohammedia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Union de Touarga
Moroccan Botola
15.03.25	Berkane - Union de Touarga	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Union de Touarga - Chabab Mohammedia	2:1 ✺
27.02.25	Difaa El Jadida - Union de Touarga	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Union de Touarga - Hassania Agadir	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	CODM de Meknès - Union de Touarga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola
07.03.25	Union de Touarga - Chabab Mohammedia	2:1
02.11.24	Chabab Mohammedia - Union de Touarga	0:3
27.04.24	Chabab Mohammedia - Union de Touarga	0:2
16.12.23	Union de Touarga - Chabab Mohammedia	1:2
12.03.23	Chabab Mohammedia - Union de Touarga	1:1
07.10.22	Union de Touarga - Chabab Mohammedia	1:0

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