Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 13 December 2023, Wednesday


	Chadormalou Ardakan		Khalij Fars Mahshahr

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.01	9.43
	1.32	4.02	9.43
	1.31	4.33	9.3
	1.34	4.2	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.44)	4.14 ↑ (3.7)	9.24 ↑ (7.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chadormalou Ardakan
68.4%

Draw
21.8%

Khalij Fars Mahshahr
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

24.5%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

22.8%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chadormalou Ardakan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chadormalou Ardakan's performance.

Khalij Fars Mahshahr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chadormalou Ardakan than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khalij Fars Mahshahr than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Chadormalou in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Khalij Fars Mahshahr has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Khalij Fars Mahshahr could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chadormalou is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chadormalou won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Chadormalou won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chadormalou Ardakan
Iran Division 1
06.12.23	Fajr Sepasi - Chadormalou Ardakan	0:1 ✺
29.11.23	Chadormalou Ardakan - Mes Kerman	2:2 ✺
22.11.23	Khoosheh Talai - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:2 ✺
15.11.23	Chadormalou Ardakan - SaiPa	2:1 ✺
08.11.23	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Chadormalou Ardakan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTWWW
- Khalij Fars Mahshahr
Iran Division 1
05.12.23	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Ario Eslamshahr	0:2 ✺
29.11.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	3:0 ✺
17.11.23	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Mes Kerman	0:2 ✺
09.11.23	Shahrdari Astara - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	2:0 ✺
03.11.23	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Darya Babol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
23.05.23	Chadormalou Ardakan - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	0:1
06.02.23	Chadormalou Ardakan - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	2:1
31.12.22	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Chadormalou Ardakan	0:1

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