Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 13

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday


	Fajr Sepasi		Chadormalou Ardakan

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.82	2.42
	3	2.67	2.42
	3.04	2.76	2.45	Watch
	2.9	2.83	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.16)	2.77 ↓ (2.98)	2.43 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajr Sepasi
30.1%

Draw
32.6%

Chadormalou Ardakan
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

30%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

29.1%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Chadormalou Ardakan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chadormalou Ardakan than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chadormalou Ardakan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	87.5%	12.5%

Fajr Sepasi - Chadormalou Ardakan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Chadormalou will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gholamzadeh A. (G) 21. Azhir M. 15. Mousavi M. 11. Moradi M. 4. Jafarikia S. 7. Zare S. 6. Rigi M. . Vosoughifard A. 10. Key Shams Y. 9. Bozorg S. 17. Shahabi H.	12. Edson Mardden (G) 34. Vitao 5. Sadeghian S. 2. Mohammadfar S. 70. Safari Laksar A. 10. Habibinezhad H. 76. Dehghan R. 78. Khosravi M. 11. Simisterra R. 88. Mashhadi S. 20. Otazu M.
Substitutes
8. Esmaeili F. 3. Helichi A. 72. Motahari A. 66. Motlaghzadeh M. 14. Niknafs Z. 70. Nokhodkar H. 98. Rezaei A. (G) 19. Rostami Y.	3. Arta A. 29. Jabireh R. 7. Khodadadi A. 13. Mahmoudabadi R. 9. Mirzaei R. 30. Moslemi Javid M. 80. Negahdari I. 1. Sedghi H. (G) 66. Taha Farahani M. 6. Taheran A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', 0 - 1, Sadeghian S. ⚽, Habibinezhad H. (A),
72', 1 - 1, Motahari A. ⚽, Jafarikia S. (A),
88', 1 - 2, Otazu M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6).

Fajr Sepasi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chadormalou is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Fajr Sepasi has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fajr Sepasi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Fajr Sepasi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Pro League
05.12.25	Sepahan - Fajr Sepasi	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Aluminium Arak - Fajr Sepasi	1:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
21.11.25	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Fajr Sepasi	1:0 penalties ✺
Iran Pro League
07.11.25	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Rafsanjan	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Paykan - Fajr Sepasi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLTT
- Chadormalou Ardakan
Iran Pro League
04.12.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Tractor Sazi - Chadormalou Ardakan	3:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
22.11.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Zob Ahan	1:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
07.11.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Aluminium Arak	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Chadormalou Ardakan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
06.12.23	Fajr Sepasi - Chadormalou Ardakan	0:1

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