Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Cham		Luzern II

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3
	1.9	3.85	3.05
	2.02	3.96	3.09
	1.91	3.92	3.13
	1.92	3.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.82)	3.88 ↓ (4.1)	3.07 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cham
47%

Draw
23.4%

Luzern II
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

22.4%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

21.5%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Luzern II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cham than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern II than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Cham - Luzern II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Franek C. ⚽,
52', 2 - 0, Franek C. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, Berisha E. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cham won 3.

Cham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Luzern II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Luzern II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cham might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 2.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Cham
Swiss Promotion League
27.09.25	Brühl - Cham	4:0 ✺
17.09.25	Cham - Vevey	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Breitenrain Bern - Cham	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Cham - Kriens	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Cham - Grand-Saconnex	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLTW
- FC Luzern II
Swiss Promotion League
20.09.25	Lausanne II - Luzern II	2:6 ✺
17.09.25	Lugano II - Luzern II	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Luzern II - Biel-Bienne	1:4 ✺
23.08.25	Bavois - Luzern II	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Luzern II - Young Boys II	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
24.05.25	Luzern II - Cham	1:3
17.11.24	Cham - Luzern II	3:4
20.04.24	Luzern II - Cham	3:2
18.10.23	Cham - Luzern II	3:2
01.04.23	Cham - Luzern II	3:1
24.09.22	Luzern II - Cham	4:3

Cham - Luzern II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide