The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bavois 52.8%
Draw 21.7%
Luzern II 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.2%
20.7%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
20.2%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bavois has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Luzern II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bavois than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
The ML Model estimate for Luzern II aligns with the current prediction.
Bavois - Luzern II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Avdic E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Meyer S. ⚽,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 15th and 17th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bavois won 3.
In recent outings, Bavois has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Luzern II has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bavois could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Bavois is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Bavois has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:20 (averaging 2.1:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bavois against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:7 goals (averaging 2.5:1.8 per game).
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