Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportplatz Eizmoos (Cham)


	Cham		Rapperswil-Jona

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.7	1.6
	4.4	3.85	1.63
	4.65	3.98	1.65
	4.74	4.01	1.65	Watch
	5.05	3.92	1.55
	4.4	3.85	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↓ (6.82)	3.89 ↓ (4.8)	1.62 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cham
19.8%

Draw
23.6%

Rapperswil-Jona
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

19.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

18.4%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cham's performance.

Rapperswil-Jona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rapperswil-Jona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cham than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rapperswil-Jona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cham - Rapperswil Jona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zajac P. (G) 17. Loosli S. 13. Tschopp S. 29. Buhler M. 4. Schuler F. 5. Franek C. 16. Fluhmann N. 21. Lujic S. 9. Giordano M. 39. Marleku M. 10. Pasquarelli M. (C)	18. Omerovic A. (G) 28. Ambassa J. 13. Padula Lenna G. 5. Ajeti Ad. (C) 21. Iapichino D. 26. Charveys A. 66. Marchand Y. 8. Saliji R. 70. Schmidt H. 9. Kamberi F. 27. Volkart D.
Substitutes
19. Bajric A. 23. Bueler M. 24. Domoraud Operi S. 11. Martin D. 3. Niederhauser F. 20. Stucki N. (G)	1. Grob M. (G) 4. Hasani A. 19. Nguy-yi N. 12. Ressurreicao L. 96. So S. 11. Wiskemann M. 6. Yesilcayir E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Marchand Y. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Kamberi F. ⚽,
20', Marleku M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Buhler M. ↓, Bajric A. ↑,
57', Pasquarelli M. 🟨,
60', Franek C. 🟨,
64', Giordano M. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
67', Marleku M. 🟥,
70', 0 - 2, Saliji R. ⚽,
75', Marchand Y. ↓, Hasani A. ↑,
75', Padula Lenna G. ↓, Yesilcayir E. ↑,
79', Schmidt H. ↓, Wiskemann M. ↑,
84', Fluhmann N. ↓, Bueler M. ↑,
87', Saliji R. ↓, So S. ↑,
87', Kamberi F. ↓, Nguy-yi N. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cham won 1.

Recent performances by Cham have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rapperswil is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rapperswil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rapperswil is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Cham
Swiss Promotion League
11.05.25	Zurich II - Cham	1:4 ✺
03.05.25	Cham - Biel-Bienne	1:3 ✺
26.04.25	Brühl - Cham	2:3 ✺
19.04.25	Cham - Breitenrain Bern	2:3 ✺
09.04.25	Cham - Lugano II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWLW
- FC Rapperswil-Jona
Swiss Promotion League
19.04.25	Rapperswil-Jona - Zurich II	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Biel-Bienne - Rapperswil-Jona	0:0 ✺
09.04.25	Rapperswil-Jona - Brühl	5:1 ✺
05.04.25	Breitenrain Bern - Rapperswil-Jona	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Lugano II - Rapperswil-Jona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
09.11.24	Rapperswil-Jona - Cham	1:2
08.05.24	Cham - Rapperswil-Jona	1:2
05.11.23	Rapperswil-Jona - Cham	3:0
05.04.23	Rapperswil-Jona - Cham	2:0
01.10.22	Cham - Rapperswil-Jona	1:3
12.03.22	Rapperswil-Jona - Cham	1:1
19.09.21	Cham - Rapperswil-Jona	1:2

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