Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportplatz Spitalacker (Bern)


	Breitenrain Bern		Rapperswil-Jona

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	1.9
	3.2	3.75	1.92
	3.27	3.83	2.01
	3.42	3.73	1.97
	3.2	3.75	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.56)	3.73 ↑ (3.69)	1.94 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breitenrain Bern
28.3%

Draw
24.6%

Rapperswil-Jona
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

24.8%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

25%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breitenrain Bern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Breitenrain Bern's form might have worsened.

Rapperswil-Jona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rapperswil-Jona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breitenrain Bern than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Breitenrain Bern, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rapperswil-Jona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Breitenrain Bern - Rapperswil Jona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rapperswil-Jona will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kilchhofer R. (G) 17. Luthi L. 8. Ruegsegger A. 5. Wenger M. 20. Hurter M. (C) 13. Briner E. 6. Fleury A. 14. Wenzi A. 23. Campbell J. 16. Frey T. 10. Neto	18. Omerovic A. (G) 23. Pousa R. 4. Hasani A. 13. Padula Lenna G. 3. Morgado B. 26. Charveys A. 66. Marchand Y. 8. Saliji R. (C) 70. Schmidt H. 9. Kamberi F. 27. Volkart D.
Substitutes
9. Mast E. 21. Meister J. 7. Obama P. 4. Schneeberger L. 19. Schneuwly C. 27. Stampfli K. (G)	28. Ambassa J. 1. Grob M. (G) 21. Iapichino D. 19. Nguy-yi N. 96. So S. 7. Tia E. 6. Yesilcayir E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Kamberi F. ⚽,
33', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Breitenrain won 3.

Recent matches Breitenrain is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rapperswil is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rapperswil could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rapperswil will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Breitenrain won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:14 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Breitenrain won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Breitenrain Bern
Swiss Promotion League
30.03.25	Zurich II - Breitenrain Bern	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Breitenrain Bern - Biel-Bienne	1:3 ✺
15.03.25	Brühl - Breitenrain Bern	5:1 ✺
01.03.25	Breitenrain Bern - Baden	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Lugano II - Breitenrain Bern	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWT
- FC Rapperswil-Jona
Swiss Promotion League
23.03.25	Lugano II - Rapperswil-Jona	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Rapperswil-Jona - Young Boys II	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Delémont - Rapperswil-Jona	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Rapperswil-Jona - Paradiso	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Basel II - Rapperswil-Jona	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
28.09.24	Rapperswil-Jona - Breitenrain Bern	0:0
16.03.24	Breitenrain Bern - Rapperswil-Jona	2:0
09.09.23	Rapperswil-Jona - Breitenrain Bern	1:1
18.02.23	Breitenrain Bern - Rapperswil-Jona	1:0
13.08.22	Rapperswil-Jona - Breitenrain Bern	0:1
20.11.21	Rapperswil-Jona - Breitenrain Bern	0:1
19.08.20	Rapperswil-Jona - Breitenrain Bern	2:1

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