Match Info

Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 24

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Yatai Training Base Stadium (Changchun)


	Changchun Xidu		Guizhou Guiyang Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.35	2.7
	2.82	2.52	2.78
	2.8	2.52	3.02
	4.86	3.49	1.70	Watch
	2.83	2.57	2.96	Watch
	2.16	3.1	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.12)	2.76 ↓ (3.1)	2.73 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Xidu
30.7%

Draw
34.4%

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Xidu's form might have worsened.

Guizhou Guiyang Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guizhou Guiyang Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Xidu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guizhou Guiyang Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Changchun Xidu - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guizhou Guiyang will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hu H. (G) 14. Li Zhen 17. Erkin Ababekri 30. Ma Bokang 16. Sun Fei 9. Qin Wanzhun 10. Murat Bebet (C) 20. Xu Zhaoji 19. Lu Hongda 36. Zhao Ran 46. Wang Shengbo	33. Chen J. (G) 17. Zheng Shengxiong 27. Zhang Wentao (C) 3. Wu Junjie 22. Kong Yinquan 8. Sun Enming 20. Wang H. 21. Zhou Z. 57. Li Xi'nan 18. Chen Xiangyu 37. Liu Yujie
Substitutes
13. Cheng Changcheng 55. Deng-Fu Chuanjiang (G) 4. Erlan Ghulaht 29. He Youzu 8. Kadir Aysan 1. Liu Y. (G) 49. Memet Nuryasin 7. Musajan Musajan 45. Nurlan Nurzat 12. Wang Y. 5. Wang Zihao 47. Yu Yue	7. Chen Chenzhenyang 29. Guo Tong (G) 1. Hou Yuyang (G) 5. Lai Yanglong 19. Liang Huan 47. Murathan Ares 49. Sun Xinkai 32. Wang Xiao 60. Wu Zhongcan 9. Xian-Yang Jiazhu 26. Xie Jinzheng
Coaches
Li Bin	Cespedes O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Liu Yujie ⚽, Zhou Z. (A),
20', Sun Fei 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Zhao Ran ⚽,
39', Zheng Shengxiong 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Li Xi'nan ↓, Sun Xinkai ↑,
46', Zhou Z. ↓, Chen Chenzhenyang ↑,
52', Chen Xiangyu 🟨,
56', Li Zhen 🟨,
66', Ma Bokang ↓, Wang Zihao ↑,
66', Lu Hongda ↓, Memet Nuryasin ↑,
68', Liu Yujie ↓, Liang Huan ↑,
75', Chen Xiangyu ↓, Wu Zhongcan ↑,
77', Xu Zhaoji ↓, Musajan Musajan ↑,
77', Wang Shengbo ↓, He Youzu ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Hu H. (Own goal),
89', Murat Bebet ↓, Nurlan Nurzat ↑,
90+2', Kong Yinquan ↓, Murathan Ares ↑,
90+2', Zhao Ran ↓, Cheng Changcheng ↑,
90+8', Wang H. ↓, Lai Yanglong ↑,
90+8', Sun Xinkai 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Xidu
Chinese Yi League
23.08.25	Shenzhen - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Changchun Xidu - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Wuxi Wugou - Changchun Xidu	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Changchun Xidu - Shanghai Port B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTTTT
- Guizhou Guiyang Athletic
Chinese Yi League
23.08.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Wuxi Wugou	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Wuhan Three Towns B - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Shenzhen	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Chengdu Rongcheng B	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Quanzhou Yassin - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLTT

Changchun Xidu - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide