Match Info

National 2 - Group B - Round 13

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Chantilly		Thionville Lusitanos

	1	X	2
	2.36	3.15	2.65
	2.87	3.14	2.35	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.57	3.04	2.54
	2.66	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.12)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	2.5 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chantilly
34.6%

Draw
29.2%

Thionville Lusitanos
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

29.1%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

28.2%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chantilly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chantilly's performance.

Thionville Lusitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thionville Lusitanos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chantilly than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chantilly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thionville Lusitanos than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thionville Lusitanos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chantilly - Thionville Lusitanos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National).

Chantilly has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Thionville Lusitanos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Thionville Lusitanos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chantilly won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Chantilly
French National 1 - Group B
06.12.25	Biesheim - Chantilly	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Chantilly - Colmar	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Blois Foot 41 - Chantilly	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Chantilly - Feignies Aulnoye	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Haguenau - Chantilly	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTWTT
- US Thionville Lusitanos
French National 1 - Group B
06.12.25	Thionville Lusitanos - Colmar	4:2 ✺
Coupe De France
15.11.25	Racing Besançon - Thionville Lusitanos	4:0 ✺
French National 1 - Group B
08.11.25	Thionville Lusitanos - Dieppe	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Beauvais Oise - Thionville Lusitanos	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Thionville Lusitanos - Furiani-Agliani	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group C
07.09.24	Thionville Lusitanos - Chantilly	2:2

Chantilly - Thionville Lusitanos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide