Match Info

Matogrossense - Round 5

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Chapada		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	5.9	3.15	1.58
	7.68	2.79	1.62
	7.48	2.88	1.65	Watch
	5.5	3.2	1.62
	7.06	3.02	1.59
	6.33	3.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.66 ↑ (4.56)	3.05 ↓ (3.38)	1.61 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapada
13.6%

Draw
29.8%

Cuiabá
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

27.2%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chapada's form might have worsened.

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Chapada - Cuiabá Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Eliel ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Tiarinha ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 2, Calebe Costa ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Tom ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

In this match, Cuiabá is the obvious favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapada FC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
21.01.26	Operário Ltda - Chapada	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Chapada - Várzea Grande	3:1 ✺
13.01.26	Chapada - Mixto	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Primavera AC - Chapada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLT
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
21.01.26	Cuiabá - Sport Sinop	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Mixto - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Cuiabá - Operário Ltda	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Luverdense - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Cuiabá - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTWLW

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