Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Cuiabá		Criciúma

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.75	4	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.6
	2.52	2.78	3.05
	2.58	2.86	3.35
	2.52	2.81	3.22	Watch
	2.2	2.75	3.6
	2.51	2.75	3.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.56)	2.79 ↑ (2.74)	3.43 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
39.3%

Draw
33.5%

Criciúma
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

33.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

32.2%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Cuiabá - Criciúma Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Criciúma will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Marcelo Carne (G) 13. Joao Basso 5. Calebe Costa 14. Eric Melo 37. Raylan 88. David Miguel 30. Raul (C) 6. Marlon 11. Eliel 8. Pepe 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues	32. Airton (G) 43. Ruan Carvalho 34. Bruno Alves 4. Luciano Castan 6. Marcinho (C) 8. Gui Lobo 50. Thiaguinho 22. Marcelo Hermes 11. Romarinho 7. Fellipe Mateus 9. Nicolas
Substitutes
7. Asad Y. 44. Gabriel Knesowitsch 49. Joao Araujo 1. Joao Carlos (G) 41. Kauan Cristtyan 91. Luis Soares 2. Nino Paraiba 17. Victor Barbara 29. Vinicius Peixoto 53. Weverson	20. Bidu 88. Caue Santos 31. Hiago Alves 41. Jean Irmer 10. Jhonata Robert 21. Joao Carlos 2. Leo Mana 91. Otero R. 70. Pedro Santos (G) 13. Waguininho 97. Willean Lepo
Coaches
Barros E.	Eduardo Baptista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Joao Basso ⚽, Pepe (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Thiaguinho ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
46', Nicolas ↓, Waguininho ↑,
46', Luciano Castan ↓, Willean Lepo ↑,
62', Eliel ↓, Kauan Cristtyan ↑,
65', Romarinho ↓, Otero R. ↑,
68', Eric Melo ↓, Luis Soares ↑,
77', Marcinho ↓, Caue Santos ↑,
81', Pepe ↓, Weverson ↑,
81', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Vinicius Peixoto ↑,
81', Raylan ↓, Nino Paraiba ↑,
86', David Miguel 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Caue Santos ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Criciúma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Inactive)

There will not play in Criciúma: Alisson (Heel Injury) Cesar Martins (Thigh Injury) Heitor Roca (Knee Injury) Octavio Henrique (Muscle Injury) Rodrigo (Thigh Injury) Yuri Tanque (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Hernades (Injury) Vitor Mendes (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Criciuma: 5.88% Cuiaba: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33:27	6	53
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47

Last Results with these Odds

Cuiabá - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.94%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Criciúma - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.45%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
29.04.26	Anápolis - Cuiabá	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.04.26	Cuiabá - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Goiás - Cuiabá	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
15.04.26	Cuiabá - Porto Vitória	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	Operário Ferroviario - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LTWLT
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Criciúma - CRB Maceio	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Fortaleza - Criciúma	3:2 ✺
10.04.26	Criciúma - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Goiás - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Criciúma - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Cuiabá - Criciúma	1:0
29.07.25	Criciúma - Cuiabá	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
31.08.24	Cuiabá - Criciúma	2:1
09.06.24	Criciúma - Cuiabá	2:5
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.19	Cuiabá - Criciúma	0:0
27.04.19	Criciúma - Cuiabá	0:1

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