Match Info

JAMAICA: Premier League - Round 31

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex (Kingston)


	Chapelton Maroons		Humble Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.11	3.35	3.1	Watch
	1.99	3.54	3.31	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.15	3.32	3.01	Watch
	2.11	3.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.16)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	3.12 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapelton Maroons
43.5%

Draw
27.3%

Humble Lions
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.5%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapelton Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Humble Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Chapelton Maroons aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Humble Lions than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Chapelton Maroons - Humble Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Smith P. (G) 13. Cohen D. 29. Cunningham D. 21. Deacon D. 17. Ellis J. 27. Evans S. S. 9. Howell J. 26. Howe N. 6. Ricketts O. 12. Vanzie A. 11. Williams L.	33. Samuel G. (G) 21. Bailey C. 17. Barnett S. 28. Campbell R. 5. Chambers A. 24. Graham K. 3. Jameison J. 12. Murray O. (C) 26. Sajay A. 15. Swaby E. 18. Thompson L.
Substitutes
5. Austin G. 3. Blackwood C. 16. Clarke D. 33. Johnson A. 23. Miller O. 1. Plunkett J. (G) 28. Watson D. 18. Watson O. 20. Whyte J.	25. Brown D. 8. Bryan K. 23. Campbell S. 9. Christian J. 30. Harrison P. (G) 7. Neil L. 27. Walker L. 13. Watson D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Ellis J. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Deacon D. ⚽,
24', Howell J. 🟨,
27', 2 - 1, Barnett S. ⚽,
40', Ricketts O. 🟨,
45+1', Smith P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Chambers A. (Pen),
52', Evans S. S. ↓, Austin G. ↑,
61', Bailey C. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
61', Jameison J. ↓, Bryan K. ↑,
74', Ellis J. ↓, Miller O. ↑,
74', Williams L. ↓, Johnson A. ↑,
75', Thompson L. ↓, Watson D. ↑,
75', Chambers A. ↓, Christian J. ↑,
90+1', Deacon D. ↓, Blackwood C. ↑,

Preview

Chapelton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Humble Lions is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chapelton will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chapelton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Chapelton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapelton Maroons
Jamaica National Premier League
16.03.25	Molynes United - Chapelton Maroons	1:1 ✺
10.03.25	Chapelton Maroons - Montego Bay United	0:1 ✺
06.03.25	Arnett Gardens - Chapelton Maroons	5:0 ✺
02.03.25	Harbour View - Chapelton Maroons	3:0 ✺
23.02.25	Chapelton Maroons - Cavalier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Humble Lions
Jamaica National Premier League
16.03.25	Humble Lions - Harbour View	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Vere United - Humble Lions	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Humble Lions - Tivoli Gardens	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Dunbeholden - Humble Lions	3:2 ✺
20.02.25	Humble Lions - Waterhouse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
19.01.25	Humble Lions - Chapelton Maroons	1:0
16.10.24	Chapelton Maroons - Humble Lions	2:0
16.04.23	Humble Lions - Chapelton Maroons	4:0
15.01.23	Chapelton Maroons - Humble Lions	0:3

Chapelton Maroons - Humble Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide