Match Info

JAMAICA: Premier League - Round 28

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Effortville Community Centre (Clarendon)


	Humble Lions		Tivoli Gardens

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.81
	3.95	3.58	1.81
	3.92	3.58	1.81	Watch
	4	3.3	1.8
	4.07	3.5	1.76
	3.9	3.4	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.79)	3.46 ↓ (3.49)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Humble Lions
23%

Draw
26.3%

Tivoli Gardens
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

26.2%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

23.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Humble Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Humble Lions than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tivoli Gardens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Humble Lions - Tivoli Gardens Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tivoli Gardens will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Harrison P. (G) 17. Barnett S. 25. Brown D. 28. Campbell R. 5. Chambers A. 10. Clarke C. 22. Graham K. 3. Jameison J. 12. Murray O. (C) 14. Neil G. 18. Thompson L.	33. Haughton D. (G) 17. Clarke S. 7. Fuller N. 27. Garnett T. 31. Lewis A. 6. Morgan H. 5. Pryce B. 16. Reid O. 29. Simpson K. (C) 4. Thomas N. 20. Williams J.
Substitutes
21. Bailey C. 8. Bryan K. 16. Morrison J. 6. Pascoe F. 33. Samuel G. (G) 27. Walker L. 13. Wilson D.	1. Clarke N. (G) 30. Hudson Q. 24. Jones S. 23. McKain T. 26. Oldfield R. 8. Smith K. 14. Watson D. 10. Wellington R. 3. Wilson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Clarke S. 🟨,
40', Murray O. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Chambers A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Morgan H. ↓, Oldfield R. ↑,
47', Campbell R. 🟨,
53', Barnett S. 🟨,
67', Chambers A. ↓, Walker L. ↑,
67', Clarke C. ↓, Morrison J. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Barnett S. ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, Barnett S. ⚽,
84', 3 - 2, Oldfield R. ⚽,
87', Brown D. ↓, Campbell S. ↑,
87', Jameison J. ↓, Pascoe F. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Humble Lions won 1.

Humble Lions is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tivoli Gardens is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Tivoli Gardens is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Humble Lions won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:26 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Humble Lions won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Humble Lions
Jamaica National Premier League
23.02.25	Dunbeholden - Humble Lions	3:2 ✺
20.02.25	Humble Lions - Waterhouse	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Mount Pleasant - Humble Lions	5:0 ✺
12.02.25	Humble Lions - Racing United	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Portmore United - Humble Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLTL
- Tivoli Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
23.02.25	Harbour View - Tivoli Gardens	2:2 ✺
20.02.25	Tivoli Gardens - Vere United	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Montego Bay United - Tivoli Gardens	3:1 ✺
12.02.25	Tivoli Gardens - Chapelton Maroons	1:1 ✺
03.02.25	Tivoli Gardens - Arnett Gardens	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
29.12.24	Tivoli Gardens - Humble Lions	5:1
22.09.24	Humble Lions - Tivoli Gardens	0:0
11.02.24	Humble Lions - Tivoli Gardens	0:2
20.11.23	Tivoli Gardens - Humble Lions	4:1
27.03.23	Tivoli Gardens - Humble Lions	1:2
28.12.22	Humble Lions - Tivoli Gardens	1:0
10.04.22	Tivoli Gardens - Humble Lions	1:1

Humble Lions - Tivoli Gardens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide