Match Info

National Division 1 - ACFF - Relegation Group - Round 9

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Charleroi B		Standard Liège U23

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.25
	2.03	3.35	3.32
	2.06	3.26	3.39	Watch
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.01	3.28	3.35
	1.83	3.45	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.83)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charleroi B
45.3%

Draw
27.4%

Standard Liège U23
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

25.2%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleroi B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Standard Liège U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi B than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège U23 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Charleroi B - Standard Liège U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent performances by Charleroi B have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Standard U23 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Charleroi B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Charleroi B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Charleroi B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Charleroi B	7	2	3	2	8:7	1	9
9	St. Liege U23	7	2	1	4	8:6	2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Charleroi B - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 47.57%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Charleroi B
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
26.04.26	Stockay-Warfusée - Charleroi B	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Charleroi B - Crossing Schaerbeek	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Royale Union SG 2 - Charleroi B	0:3 ✺
28.03.26	Charleroi B - Namur	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Standard Liège U23 - Charleroi B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWLL
- Standard Liège U23
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
25.04.26	Royale Union SG 2 - Standard Liège U23	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Standard Liège U23 - Stockay-Warfusée	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Standard Liège U23 - Namur	3:1 ✺
29.03.26	Crossing Schaerbeek - Standard Liège U23	3:2 ✺
22.03.26	Standard Liège U23 - Charleroi B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
22.03.26	Standard Liège U23 - Charleroi B	1:0
08.02.26	Charleroi B - Standard Liège U23	0:2
01.11.25	Standard Liège U23 - Charleroi B	0:1
10.11.24	Charleroi B - Standard Liège U23	0:0

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