Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 9

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Lisle Carr Oval (Lake Macquarie)


	Charlestown Azzurri		Valentine Phoenix

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	5	Watch
	1.39	4.87	6.2
	1.42	4.83	6.01	Watch
	1.4	4.4	6
	1.37	4.65	6.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	4.7 ↑ (4.68)	5.92 ↑ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlestown Azzurri
65.2%

Draw
19.4%

Valentine Phoenix
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

19.5%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

18.6%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlestown Azzurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Valentine Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlestown Azzurri than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentine Phoenix than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Charlestown Azzurri - Valentine Phoenix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 0 - 2, ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlestown Azzurri won 4.

In recent matches, Charlestown Azzurri has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Valentine is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Charlestown Azzurri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Charlestown Azzurri has had a series of away games.

In this match, Charlestown Azzurri is the clear favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Charlestown Azzurri won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:20. (average 2.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlestown Azzurri won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlestown Azzurri
Australian NPL Northern NSW
18.04.26	Edgeworth Eagles - Charlestown Azzurri	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Belmont Swansea United - Charlestown Azzurri	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Kahibah	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Lambton Jaffas - Charlestown Azzurri	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Weston Bears - Charlestown Azzurri	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLWTW
- Valentine Phoenix
Australian NPL Northern NSW
18.04.26	Valentine Phoenix - Adamstown Rosebud	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Kahibah - Valentine Phoenix	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Lambton Jaffas - Valentine Phoenix	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Edgeworth Eagles - Valentine Phoenix	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Valentine Phoenix - Maitland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
06.07.25	Charlestown Azzurri - Valentine Phoenix	0:0
05.04.25	Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri	1:5
18.08.24	Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri	1:2
12.05.24	Charlestown Azzurri - Valentine Phoenix	3:0
10.06.23	Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri	0:1
11.03.23	Charlestown Azzurri - Valentine Phoenix	3:0
21.08.22	Charlestown Azzurri - Valentine Phoenix	0:4

Charlestown Azzurri - Valentine Phoenix: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide