Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 8

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Croudace Bay Complex (Lake Macquarie)


	Valentine Phoenix		Adamstown Rosebud

	1	X	2
	3.3	4	1.75	Watch
	3.57	4.11	1.84
	3.48	4.06	1.85	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.8
	3.85	3.95	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.44)	3.94 ↓ (4.07)	1.79 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Valentine Phoenix
25.7%

Draw
23.2%

Adamstown Rosebud
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

22.4%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

21.9%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentine Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The chances for Adamstown Rosebud have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentine Phoenix than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adamstown Rosebud than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Valentine Phoenix - Adamstown Rosebud Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone NPL Northern NSW (Relegation) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valentine won 2.

Recent form of Valentine has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Adamstown Rosebud has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Adamstown Rosebud is considered a favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Valentine won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 37:39. (average 1.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Valentine won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.8:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentine Phoenix
Australian NPL Northern NSW
12.04.26	Kahibah - Valentine Phoenix	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Lambton Jaffas - Valentine Phoenix	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Edgeworth Eagles - Valentine Phoenix	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Valentine Phoenix - Maitland	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Valentine Phoenix - Cooks Hill United	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 LWLTL
- Adamstown Rosebud
Australian NPL Northern NSW
11.04.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland	2:5 ✺
01.04.26	Newcastle Olympic - Adamstown Rosebud	2:2 ✺
27.03.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Edgeworth Eagles	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Broadmeadow Magic - Adamstown Rosebud	2:2 ✺
27.02.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Kahibah	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
25.06.25	Valentine Phoenix - Adamstown Rosebud	2:4
21.02.25	Adamstown Rosebud - Valentine Phoenix	3:2
03.08.24	Valentine Phoenix - Adamstown Rosebud	3:0
08.03.24	Adamstown Rosebud - Valentine Phoenix	0:3
20.05.23	Valentine Phoenix - Adamstown Rosebud	2:3
04.03.23	Adamstown Rosebud - Valentine Phoenix	0:1
12.06.22	Valentine Phoenix - Adamstown Rosebud	2:2

Valentine Phoenix - Adamstown Rosebud: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide