Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 14

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Lisle Carr Oval (Lake Macquarie)


	Charlestown Azzurri		Weston Bears

	1	X	2
	4.10	4.33	1.57	Watch
	4.40	4.50	1.55
	4.40	4.30	1.50
	4.63	4.84	1.53
	4.59	4.75	1.56
	4.55	4.75	1.47
	4.06	4.68	1.64
	4.40	4.40	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (3.25)	4.57 ↑ (3.99)	1.55 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlestown Azzurri
20.8%

Draw
20%

Weston Bears
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

22.6%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

22.3%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlestown Azzurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlestown Azzurri's form might have worsened.

Weston Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Weston Bears's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlestown Azzurri than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlestown Azzurri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston Bears than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Weston Bears, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Charlestown Azzurri - Weston Bears Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Weston Bears will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
70', 0 - 4, ⚽,
76', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs: )).

Charlestown Azzurri has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Weston Bears's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Weston Bears may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Weston Bears is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Charlestown Azzurri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlestown Azzurri
Australian NPL Northern NSW
11.07.26	Cooks Hill United - Charlestown Azzurri	4:0 ✺
01.07.26	Newcastle Olympic - Charlestown Azzurri	7:1 ✺
27.06.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Belmont Swansea United	1:3 ✺
24.06.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Cooks Hill United	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Kahibah - Charlestown Azzurri	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTL
- Weston Bears FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
11.07.26	Weston Bears - Lambton Jaffas	3:2 ✺
28.06.26	Broadmeadow Magic - Weston Bears	5:1 ✺
20.06.26	Cooks Hill United - Weston Bears	3:3 ✺
13.06.26	Weston Bears - Belmont Swansea United	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Weston Bears - Maitland	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
07.03.26	Weston Bears - Charlestown Azzurri	2:4
30.07.25	Weston Bears - Charlestown Azzurri	2:1

Charlestown Azzurri - Weston Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide