Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 13

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Darling Street Oval (Newcastle)


	Newcastle Olympic		Charlestown Azzurri

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.9	2.45	Watch
	2.00	3.70	3.00
	2.20	3.45	2.65
	2.36	3.8	2.48
	1.04	11.21	35.30	Watch
	2.25	3.35	2.4
	2.29	3.8	2.42
	2.18	3.7	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.15)	4.61 ↑ (3.97)	6.68 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Olympic
56.9%

Draw
25.5%

Charlestown Azzurri
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

23%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

21.7%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle Olympic's performance.

Charlestown Azzurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlestown Azzurri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Olympic than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle Olympic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlestown Azzurri than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlestown Azzurri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	18.7%	37.5%

Newcastle Olympic - Charlestown Azzurri Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Newcastle Olympic will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Charlestown Azzurri will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle Olympic: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlestown Azzurri (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 4 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 5 - 0, ⚽,
50', 6 - 0, ⚽,
56', 6 - 1, ⚽,
65', 7 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Olympic won 2.

In recent matches, Newcastle Olympic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Charlestown Azzurri is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Olympic won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Olympic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Olympic
Australian NPL Northern NSW
27.06.26	Newcastle Olympic - Cooks Hill United	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Maitland - Newcastle Olympic	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Newcastle Olympic - Kahibah	3:3 ✺
30.05.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Newcastle Olympic	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Newcastle Olympic - Weston Bears	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTLL
- Charlestown Azzurri
Australian NPL Northern NSW
27.06.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Belmont Swansea United	1:3 ✺
24.06.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Cooks Hill United	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Kahibah - Charlestown Azzurri	4:1 ✺
13.06.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Lambton Jaffas	1:3 ✺
16.05.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Charlestown Azzurri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
01.03.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Newcastle Olympic	1:2
01.06.25	Charlestown Azzurri - Newcastle Olympic	3:2
01.03.25	Newcastle Olympic - Charlestown Azzurri	0:1
24.08.24	Charlestown Azzurri - Newcastle Olympic	2:0
07.07.24	Charlestown Azzurri - Newcastle Olympic	1:2
14.04.24	Newcastle Olympic - Charlestown Azzurri	3:1
15.07.23	Charlestown Azzurri - Newcastle Olympic	2:1

Newcastle Olympic - Charlestown Azzurri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide