The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chattanooga 59.3%
Draw 20.9%
Chicago Fire II 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
23.8%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.1%
23.2%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chattanooga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Chattanooga - Chicago Fire II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jakupovic E. (G) 2. Tcheuyap Y. 5. Sar-Sar F. 4. Hanchard M. 13. Sorenson A. 6. Louis S. 18. Husakiwsky L. 9. Barker D. 33. McGrath A. 10. Mangarov D. 26. Ancelin K.
60. Nemo J. (G) 55. Nigg D. 38. Cupps C. 66. Nagle C. 54. Chavez E. 65. Pineda O. 48. Fleming R. 37. Turdean R. 72. Villanueva D. 76. Napoe M. 28. Boltz D.
Substitutes
29. Arrua A. 90. Cohen Y. 7. Garcia A. 77. Huff G. (G) 14. Koehler N. 11. Mohand A. 17. Ortiz D. 3. Robertson T. 30. Thomas C.
61. Bernhardt H. 75. Cortes T. 53. Field J. 78. Gongadze G. 34. Gonzalez O. 58. Williams B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Husakiwsky L. 🟨,
40', Ancelin K. ↓, Cohen Y. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, McGrath A. ⚽, Mangarov D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Villanueva D. ⚽, Nigg D. (A),
57', 1 - 2, Villanueva D. ⚽, Turdean R. (A),
61', Husakiwsky L. ↓, Mohand A. ↑,
61', McGrath A. ↓, Robertson T. ↑,
71', Villanueva D. ↓, Williams B. ↑,
71', Chavez E. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Barker D. ⚽, Sar-Sar F. (A),
76', Sorenson A. ↓, Thomas C. ↑,
77', Hanchard M. ↓, Koehler N. ↑,
82', Turdean R. ↓, Bernhardt H. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 1)
1, Robertson T. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Fleming R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mohand A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Boltz D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cohen Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Nigg D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mangarov D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
Chattanooga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Chicago Fire II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Chattanooga is a strong favorite.
We predict that Chattanooga will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Chattanooga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.