The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carolina Core 37.4%
Draw 25%
Chicago Fire II 37.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
26.2%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
25.6%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carolina Core has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Chicago Fire II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Carolina Core - Chicago Fire II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Holliday N. (G) 77. Tetteh R. 2. Orbaugh C. 24. Weber T. 6. Montenegro R. 25. Swinehart B. 20. Raimbault T. 88. Baer R. (C) 19. Hammond S. 9. Kaloukian N. 26. Tattevin A.
60. Nemo J. (G) 27. Borso D. 30. Sandmeyer J. 34. Gonzalez O. 55. Nigg D. 65. Pineda O. 48. Fleming R. (C) 72. Villanueva D. 28. Boltz D. 37. Turdean R. 68. Glyut V.
Substitutes
14. Balogun K. 18. Colon D. 58. Diaz D. 4. Evers N. 44. Jackson T. (G) 8. Lundeen C. 21. Martinez N. 15. Pineda T. 99. Rockhill G.
61. Bernhardt H. 54. Chavez E. 41. Diawara T. 53. Field J. 90. Molenda D. (G) 49. Montiel J. 46. Morales C. 76. Napoe M. 58. Williams B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
4', Nigg D. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Pineda O. ⚽, Boltz D. (A),
29', 0 - 2, Nigg D. ⚽,
34', 0 - 3, Glyut V. ⚽, Turdean R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Sandmeyer J. ↓, Field J. ↑,
46', Raimbault T. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
46', Tetteh R. ↓, Evers N. ↑,
46', Orbaugh C. ↓, Martinez N. ↑,
55', Baer R. 🟨,
55', 0 - 4, Fleming R. ⚽,
62', Montenegro R. ↓, Lundeen C. ↑,
66', Boltz D. ↓, Diawara T. ↑,
66', Borso D. ↓, Napoe M. ↑,
70', Hammond S. ↓, Pineda T. ↑,
75', Glyut V. ↓, Bernhardt H. ↑,
76', Turdean R. ↓, Montiel J. ↑,
78', Pineda O. 🟨,
79', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
80', 1 - 4, Tattevin A. ⚽, Pineda T. (A),
82', Orbaugh C. 🟨,
90', Martinez N. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 5, Diawara T. ⚽, Nigg D. (A),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Chicago Fire II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Chicago Fire II has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carolina Core won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Carolina Core won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Carolina Core - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.21%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.