Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 27

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Chełmianka Chełm		Karpaty Krosno

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.1	4.75
	1.58	4.31	4.66	Watch
	1.65	4	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.6)	4.14 ↓ (4.5)	4.44 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chełmianka Chełm
57.6%

Draw
22%

Karpaty Krosno
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

20.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

16.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chełmianka Chełm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Karpaty Krosno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chełmianka Chełm that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Krosno than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karpaty Krosno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Korbecki B. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Kobialka M. ⚽,
48', 3 - 0, Stepien D. ⚽,
73', 4 - 0, Karbownik J. ⚽,
90', 5 - 0, Knap J. ⚽,
90+7', 6 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.04.24	Star Starachowice - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Czarni Połaniec	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Chełmianka Chełm	5:3 ✺
30.03.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Świdniczanka Świdnik	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chełmianka Chełm	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLLW
- Karpaty Krosno
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.04.24	Karpaty Krosno - Garbarnia Kraków	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Wiślanie Jaśkowice - Karpaty Krosno	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Sokół Sieniawa - Karpaty Krosno	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Karpaty Krosno - Star Starachowice	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Czarni Połaniec - Karpaty Krosno	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.09.23	Karpaty Krosno - Chełmianka Chełm	3:4
30.05.18	Karpaty Krosno - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0
28.10.17	Chełmianka Chełm - Karpaty Krosno	1:0

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