Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Star Starachowice		Chełmianka Chełm

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.5	2.35
	2.52	3.61	2.38	Watch
	2.48	3.56	2.35	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.49)	3.54 ↑ (3.53)	2.37 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Star Starachowice
36.4%

Draw
25.5%

Chełmianka Chełm
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

25.6%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

24.8%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Star Starachowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Star Starachowice - Chełmianka Chełm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Adamski R. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Szynka A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 4).

Star Starachowice is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Chełmianka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Star Starachowice won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Star Starachowice won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.10.25	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Star Starachowice	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Star Starachowice - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Star Starachowice	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Star Starachowice - Wisłoka Dębica	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Star Starachowice - Korona Kielce 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTTW
- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.10.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Chełmianka Chełm	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
23.11.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Star Starachowice	1:1
03.08.24	Star Starachowice - Chełmianka Chełm	5:1
20.04.24	Star Starachowice - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1
23.09.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Star Starachowice	2:0

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