Match Info

Premier League 2

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Kingsmeadow (London)

Referee: Marsden P. (Eng)


	Chelsea U21		Stoke City U21

	1	X	2
	1.46	5.74	5.2
	2.79	3.32	2.41	Watch
	1.48	4.95	5.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.45)	4.67 ↓ (5.46)	4.27 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea U21
53.9%

Draw
22%

Stoke City U21
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

16.7%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

17.1%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chelsea U21's form might have worsened.

Stoke City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea U21 than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelsea U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City U21 than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Chelsea U21 - Stoke City U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Curd T. (G) 2. Antwi G. 3. Murray-Campbell H. 4. Wilson K. 5. Emenalo L. 6. Harrison O. 8. McMahon H. 7. Cardoso L. 10. Walsh R. 11. Kavuma McQueen R. 9. Mheuka S. (C)	1. Grant T. (G) 2. Mears J. 5. Otegbayo R. 4. Dixon J. (C) 3. Giani L. 8. Powell O. 6. Griffin J. 7. Fawunmi F. 10. Enabulele O. 11. Vidigal A. 9. Osei Kyremeh J.
Substitutes
55. Derry J. 13. Merrick M. (G) 43. Olise R. 36. Rak-Sakyi S. 16. Richards D.	12. Baker L. 14. Chibueze C. 13. Clothier C. (G) 15. Harrison M. 16. Matondo J.
Coaches
McFarlane C.	Hibbert D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Vidigal A. ⚽, Mears J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Walsh R. ↓, Richards D. ↑,
58', Kavuma McQueen R. ↓, Derry J. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Vidigal A. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Derry J. ⚽,
76', Osei Kyremeh J. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
78', Cardoso L. ↓, Rak-Sakyi S. ↑,
83', Powell O. 🟨,
86', Powell O. ↓, Harrison M. ↑,
86', Fawunmi F. ↓, Matondo J. ↑,
90+1', Vidigal A. ↓, Chibueze C. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Stoke U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Chelsea U21 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Chelsea U21 is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chelsea U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea U21
English EFL Trophy
23.09.25	Northampton Town - Chelsea U21	3:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
20.09.25	Chelsea U21 - Ipswich Town U21	2:4 ✺
29.08.25	Aston Villa U21 - Chelsea U21	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
26.08.25	Shrewsbury Town - Chelsea U21	3:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
22.08.25	Newcastle United U21 - Chelsea U21	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLW
- Stoke City U21
English Premier League 2
22.09.25	Stoke City U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	2:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
13.09.25	Bristol City U21 - Stoke City U21	1:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
29.08.25	Stoke City U21 - Liverpool U21	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 - Stoke City U21	2:2 ✺
15.08.25	Birmingham City U21 - Stoke City U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League U21
04.04.14	Stoke City U21 - Chelsea U21	0:3

Chelsea U21 - Stoke City U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide