Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 17

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	Chelyabinsk 2		Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

	1	X	2
	2.74	3.65	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (4.42)	3.65 ↓ (3.9)	2.16 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk 2
33.1%

Draw
24.9%

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

23.6%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

22.5%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelyabinsk 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelyabinsk 2's performance.

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk 2 than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelyabinsk 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Chelyabinsk 2 - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Chelyabinsk 2 will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Pobeda will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 2).

Chelyabinsk 2 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pobeda is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Pobeda is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chelyabinsk 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	28	15	5	8	59:42	17	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
05.07.26	Ural 2 - Chelyabinsk 2	2:2 ✺
01.07.26	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Chelyabinsk 2	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	0:3 ✺
21.06.26	Izhevsk - Chelyabinsk 2	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - KDV Tomsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLLLT
- Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
05.07.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:1 ✺
01.07.26	Izhevsk - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - KDV Tomsk	4:0 ✺
21.06.26	Orenburg-2 - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	2:4 ✺
14.06.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Rubin 2 Kazan	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
10.05.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Chelyabinsk 2	3:2

Chelyabinsk 2 - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide