Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 13

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday


	Orenburg-2		Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

	1	X	2
	3.05	4.33	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 (3.05)	4.33 ↑ (3.8)	1.84 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg-2
29.7%

Draw
21%

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

23.9%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

22.8%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg-2 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Orenburg 2 - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Maksimchuk A. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Kozhukhar I. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Cherkasov D. ⚽,
39', 2 - 2, Dudarin K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 2 - 3, Maksimchuk A. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 4, Mikhaylovskiy R. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 3)

Recent performances by Orenburg-2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pobeda is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pobeda might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Orenburg-2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	28	15	5	8	59:42	17	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg-2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
14.06.26	Ural 2 - Orenburg-2	5:0 ✺
07.06.26	Orenburg-2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Izhevsk - Orenburg-2	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Orenburg-2 - KDV Tomsk	3:0 ✺
18.05.26	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Orenburg-2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLTWT
- Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
14.06.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Rubin 2 Kazan	6:0 ✺
07.06.26	Dynamo Barnaul - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Akron Tolyatti 2	1:3 ✺
24.05.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Ural 2 - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
19.04.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Orenburg-2	2:2

Orenburg-2 - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide