Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Chemal		Police

	1	X	2
	2.23	2.90	3.05
	2.57	2.55	3.2	Watch
	2.2	2.9	2.8
	2.34	3.13	2.99	Watch
	2.36	3	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.36)	2.9 ↓ (3)	3 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemal
38.6%

Draw
31.2%

Police
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Chemal have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
81', 🟥,

Preview

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Chemal has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:1 (averaging 1.3:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chemal against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Police	3	2	1	0	5:0	5	7
6	Chemal	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemal FC
Mauritania Ligue 1
25.05.26	Chemal - Pompier	1:0 ✺
12.05.26	Chemal - Nouakchott Kings	3:4 ✺
03.05.26	Police - Chemal	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Chemal - Douanes Nouakchott	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Ksar - Chemal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWTL
- ASC Police
Mauritania Ligue 1
25.05.26	Gendrim - Police	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Police - Kaédi	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Nouadhibou - Police	4:1 ✺
03.05.26	Police - Chemal	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Police - SNIM	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mauritania Ligue 1
03.05.26	Police - Chemal	0:1
21.12.25	Chemal - Police	1:1
18.03.23	Chemal - Police	2:0
13.11.22	Police - Chemal	0:1

Chemal - Police