The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chemie Leipzig 27.3%
Draw 25.7%
Chemnitzer 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
27.1%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.6%
26.5%
42.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chemie Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Chemnitzer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chemnitzer's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemie Leipzig than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemnitzer than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Chemie Leipzig - Chemnitzer Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Eppendorfer R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Baumgart T. ⚽,
70', 🟥,
86', 1 - 2, Kuhn P. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 3, Zamora A. G. ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 15th and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chemie Leipzig won 2.
Chemie Leipzig has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Chemnitzer shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Chemie Leipzig has faced a series of away games on the road.
Chemnitzer is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Chemie Leipzig has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:7 (averaging 1.2:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chemie Leipzig against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:4 goals (averaging 1.8:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Chemnitzer
11
8
2
1
25:5
20
26
14
Chemie Leipzig
11
2
3
6
12:17
-5
9
Last Results with these Odds
Chemie Leipzig - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 31.27%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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