Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 8

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Chemie Leipzig		Rot-Weiß Erfurt

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.75	1.72
	4.27	3.68	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (4.06)	3.72 ↑ (3.69)	1.71 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemie Leipzig
21.9%

Draw
24.6%

Rot-Weiß Erfurt
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

24.8%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

24.3%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chemie Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Rot-Weiß Erfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemie Leipzig than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Erfurt than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Chemie Leipzig - Rot Weiß Erfurt Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rot-Weiß Erfurt (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Weigel J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Wolf M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chemie Leipzig won 0.

Chemie Leipzig has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rot-Weiß Erfurt is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rot-Weiß Erfurt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rot-Weiß Erfurt is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chemie Leipzig won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chemie Leipzig won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemie Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
12.09.25	Hallescher - Chemie Leipzig	0:0 ✺
02.09.25	Chemie Leipzig - Carl Zeiss Jena	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Preussen - Chemie Leipzig	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Chemie Leipzig - Babelsberg	2:3 ✺
13.08.25	Chemnitzer - Chemie Leipzig	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLLLL
- Rot-Weiß Erfurt
German Regionalliga Nordost
13.09.25	Preussen - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2:4 ✺
31.08.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Magdeburg II	3:1 ✺
26.08.25	Altglienicke - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Hallescher	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Greifswald	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
14.03.25	Chemie Leipzig - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:3
21.09.24	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Chemie Leipzig	5:1
02.02.24	Chemie Leipzig - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:1
16.08.23	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Chemie Leipzig	4:2
21.05.23	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Chemie Leipzig	2:2
25.01.23	Chemie Leipzig - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:1
29.09.19	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Chemie Leipzig	0:0

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