Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Chemnitzer		Meuselwitz

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.6	3.45
	2.04	3.65	3.4
	1.98	3.69	3.22
	2	3.3	3.2
	1.91	3.5	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.77)	3.55 ↓ (3.75)	3.34 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chemnitzer
46.6%

Draw
25.9%

Meuselwitz
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

24.2%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

23.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chemnitzer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Meuselwitz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemnitzer than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chemnitzer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meuselwitz than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Chemnitzer - Meuselwitz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Hansch F. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Marx J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Eckardt R. ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Bozic D. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, Muller F. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chemnitzer won 2.

Chemnitzer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Meuselwitz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chemnitzer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Meuselwitz has had a series of home games.

In this match, Chemnitzer is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chemnitzer won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:9. (average 2.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chemnitzer won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Chemnitzer	11	8	2	1	25:5	20	26

Last Results with these Odds

Meuselwitz - the odds 3.67 are the expected chance of winning is 24.68%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chemnitzer FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
17.04.26	Hertha Zehlendorf - Chemnitzer	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Chemnitzer - Hertha Berlin II	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Preussen - Chemnitzer	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Eilenburg - Chemnitzer	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Chemnitzer - Carl Zeiss Jena	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLTW
- ZFC Meuselwitz
German Regionalliga Nordost
19.04.26	Meuselwitz - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:3 ✺
15.04.26	Meuselwitz - Berliner FC Dynamo	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	Magdeburg II - Meuselwitz	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Meuselwitz - Hallescher	3:2 ✺
01.04.26	Meuselwitz - Preussen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
02.11.25	Meuselwitz - Chemnitzer	1:4
23.02.25	Chemnitzer - Meuselwitz	4:0
30.08.24	Meuselwitz - Chemnitzer	1:0
27.04.24	Chemnitzer - Meuselwitz	1:2
12.11.23	Meuselwitz - Chemnitzer	1:0
16.04.23	Meuselwitz - Chemnitzer	0:3
29.10.22	Chemnitzer - Meuselwitz	4:0

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