Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 28

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Eilenburg		Chemnitzer

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.55	2.15
	3.04	3.67	2.21
	2.98	3.76	2.06
	3.03	3.52	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)	3.63 ↑ (3.62)	2.12 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eilenburg
30.9%

Draw
25.5%

Chemnitzer
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

25.3%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

25.1%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eilenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Chemnitzer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eilenburg than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chemnitzer than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Eilenburg - Chemnitzer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, Niemitz M. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Alberico D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eilenburg won 1.

Eilenburg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chemnitzer has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chemnitzer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chemnitzer might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Eilenburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Eilenburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Chemnitzer	11	8	2	1	25:5	20	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Eilenburg
German Regionalliga Nordost
25.03.26	Altglienicke - Eilenburg	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Hertha Zehlendorf - Eilenburg	0:0 ✺
17.03.26	Eilenburg - Meuselwitz	5:1 ✺
14.03.26	Eilenburg - Magdeburg II	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Babelsberg - Eilenburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWLL
- Chemnitzer FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
22.03.26	Chemnitzer - Carl Zeiss Jena	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Chemnitzer - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Hallescher - Chemnitzer	3:1 ✺
04.03.26	Chemie Leipzig - Chemnitzer	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Chemnitzer - Babelsberg	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
04.10.25	Chemnitzer - Eilenburg	2:2
09.05.25	Eilenburg - Chemnitzer	2:2
24.11.24	Chemnitzer - Eilenburg	1:0
12.05.24	Eilenburg - Chemnitzer	3:2
31.01.24	Chemnitzer - Eilenburg	2:0
06.04.22	Eilenburg - Chemnitzer	1:2
03.10.21	Chemnitzer - Eilenburg	2:0

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