Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Chengdu Rongcheng		Guangdong Southern Tigers

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.5	Watch
	1.95	2.85	4.1
	1.85	3.2	3.8
	1.9	3.05	3.75
	2.04	3.23	4.08
	1.95	3.1	3.75
	1.98	3.44	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2)	3.15 ↑ (3.11)	3.8 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chengdu Rongcheng
47%

Draw
29%

Guangdong Southern Tigers
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

29.4%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

20.1%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Guangdong Southern Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chengdu Rongcheng that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong Southern Tigers than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangdong Southern Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chengdu Rongcheng - Guangdong Southern Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Chengdu Better City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chengdu Better City will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chengdu Better City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Chengdu Better City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Jia League
28.10.20	Kunshan - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
25.10.20	Chengdu Rongcheng - Taizhou Yuanda	2:1 ✺
15.10.20	Chengdu Rongcheng - Nei Mongol Zhongyou	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Suzhou Dongwu - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
07.10.20	Chengdu Rongcheng - Taizhou Yuanda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWWT
- Guangdong Southern Tigers FC
Chinese Jia League
29.10.20	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Zhejiang Professional	4:2 ✺
24.10.20	Changchun Yatai - Guangdong Southern Tigers	1:0 ✺
15.10.20	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	3:2 ✺
10.10.20	Zhejiang Professional - Guangdong Southern Tigers	1:1 ✺
07.10.20	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Jiangxi Lushan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
29.07.17	Chengdu Rongcheng - Guangdong Southern Tigers	1:3
13.05.17	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1

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