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Current Win Probability
Chengdu Rongcheng B 40.2%
Draw 29.7%
Wenzhou Professional 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
29%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
28.6%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chengdu Rongcheng B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chengdu Rongcheng B's form might have worsened.
Wenzhou Professional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wenzhou Professional's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng B than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chengdu Rongcheng B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wenzhou Professional than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wenzhou Professional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chengdu Rongcheng B - Wenzhou Professional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
60. Tang Zicheng (G) 59. Wang Ziteng 17. Dai W. (C) 53. Chen Siliang 27. Wang Yueheng 51. Li Ke 7. Zhang Zili 43. Zhang Kongzhi 16. Yao Younan 46. Wu Jiayi 29. Yao Zixuan
12. Chen Zhao (G) 28. Zhu Chunyou 19. Yao Xilong 6. Zhao Wenzhe 18. Lu Jiabin 11. Lu Shihao 53. Sun Weikai 7. Lu Y. 9. Li Jiaheng 8. Han Tianlin 10. Ruan Sai (C)
Substitutes
10. Cao Pinpai 37. Du Yijinwu 41. Huang Junjie 38. Huang Zhenghan 15. Liu Zhetao 44. Luo S. 36. Tang Yixuan (G) 40. Wang H. (G) 49. Xu Hong 6. Xu Zhenghang 56. Yi Yuchong 47. Zhang Ziwei
55. Gao Le 57. He J. 52. He Xiang (G) 58. Liu Y. 27. Ou Xueqian 25. Wang X. 47. Wang Z.
Coaches
Xu Jianye
Esteva J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Wang Yueheng ↓, Liu Zhetao ↑,
22', Lu Jiabin 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Lu Shihao ⚽, Sun Weikai (A),
38', Li Ke 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Li Ke ↓, Huang Zhenghan ↑,
46', Yao Younan ↓, Cao Pinpai ↑,
58', Zhang Kongzhi 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Yao Xilong (Own goal),
67', Wu Jiayi ↓, Xu Hong ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Ruan Sai ⚽, Lu Shihao (A),
77', Sun Weikai ↓, Gao Le ↑,
78', Yao Zixuan ↓, Yi Yuchong ↑,
80', Zhu Chunyou 🟨,
80', Zhu Chunyou ↓, Ou Xueqian ↑,
87', Lu Y. ↓, Liu Y. ↑,
87', Li Jiaheng ↓, Wang Z. ↑,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ))
Chengdu Rongcheng B is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Wenzhou's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Chengdu Rongcheng B will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chengdu Rongcheng B won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).
Including home match between the teams, Chengdu Rongcheng B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.