Match Info

INDIA: ISL - Round 16

Date: 9 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Chennai)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Disney+ Hotstar, Sports18 2, Sports18 3, Sports18, Star Sports 3
World	JioTV app, Onefootball


	Chennaiyin		Odisha

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.75	2.88	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.87
	2.13	3.25	2.7
	2.26	3.52	2.95	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.88
	2.23	3.42	2.93	Watch
	2.13	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.21)	3.41 ↑ (3.39)	2.84 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chennaiyin
41.4%

Draw
26.7%

Odisha
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chennaiyin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Odisha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chennaiyin than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odisha than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Chennaiyin - Odisha Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Chennaiyin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Odisha will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Odisha: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Nawaz M. (G) 33. Yumnam B. 6. Mukherjee A. 4. Pc L. 26. Renthlei L. 22. Hnamte L. 10. Shields C. 27. Chukwu D. 70. Brambilla L. 9. Jordan 19. Yadwad I.	1. Singh A. (G) 4. Ranawade A. 15. Fall M. 5. Delgado C. 18. Lalrinzuala J. 6. Kumar R. 7. Puitea 8. Boumous H. 25. Ali R. 90. Dori 77. Kannoly R.
Substitutes
47. Barretto V. 71. Choudhary F. 23. Dakshinamurthy V. 17. Desai M. 1. Mitra S. (G) 7. Nassiri K. 77. Singh G. 8. Singh J. 37. Singh Y. J.	11. Fernandes R. 3. Gahlot N. 28. Gama S. 23. Kumar A. (G) 9. Mauricio Diego 17. Mawihmingthanga J. 24. Moirangthem T. 39. Naik N. 29. Singh A. A.
Coaches
Coyle O.	Lobera S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Brambilla L. 🟨,
45', Puitea 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Mukherjee A. ↓, Desai M. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Jordan ⚽, Shields C. (A),
53', 2 - 0, Jordan ⚽, Shields C. (A),
60', Ali R. ↓, Moirangthem T. ↑,
61', Delgado C. ↓, Mauricio Diego ↑,
61', Puitea ↓, Fernandes R. ↑,
67', Yumnam B. ↓, Dakshinamurthy V. ↑,
68', Lalrinzuala J. ↓, Gama S. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Dori ⚽, Mauricio Diego (A),
81', Chukwu D. ↓, Singh J. ↑,
86', Boumous H. 🟨,
90+7', Brambilla L. ↓, Choudhary F. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 2, Nawaz M. (Own goal),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 7).

Chennaiyin is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Odisha is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chennaiyin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chennaiyin won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Chennaiyin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chennaiyin FC
Indian ISL
28.12.24	Chennaiyin - Bengaluru	2:4 ✺
21.12.24	Mumbai City - Chennaiyin	1:0 ✺
11.12.24	Chennaiyin - Hyderabad	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Chennaiyin - East Bengal	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	ATK Mohun Bagan - Chennaiyin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL
- Odisha FC
Indian ISL
04.01.25	Odisha - Goa	2:4 ✺
27.12.24	Mohammedan Kolkata - Odisha	0:0 ✺
12.12.24	East Bengal - Odisha	1:2 ✺
05.12.24	Odisha - Mumbai City	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Odisha - Bengaluru	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Indian ISL
14.09.24	Odisha - Chennaiyin	2:3
03.03.24	Chennaiyin - Odisha	2:1
23.09.23	Odisha - Chennaiyin	2:0
02.02.23	Chennaiyin - Odisha	2:2

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