Match Info

INDIA: ISL - Round 15

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Kalinga Stadium (Bhubaneswar)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Disney+ Hotstar, Sports18 2, Sports18 3, Sports18, Star Sports 3
World	JioTV app, Onefootball


	Odisha		Goa

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.3
	2.8	3.5	2.3
	2.88	3.33	2.39	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.3
	2.91	3.2	2.35
	2.8	3.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.6)	3.36 ↓ (3.57)	2.32 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odisha
32.7%

Draw
27.5%

Goa
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

25.8%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

25.7%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odisha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Goa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odisha than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Odisha - Goa Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Odisha will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Goa will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh A. (G) 4. Ranawade A. 15. Fall M. 24. Moirangthem T. 18. Lalrinzuala J. 10. Jahouh A. 8. Boumous H. 7. Puitea 25. Ali R. 90. Dori 17. Mawihmingthanga J.	55. Tiwari H. (G) 17. Singh B. 16. Onaindia O. 3. Jhingan S. 27. Sangwan A. 15. Tavora S. 4. McHugh C. 21. Singh U. 26. Herrera B. 42. Fernandes B. 34. Guarrotxena I.
Substitutes
5. Delgado C. 11. Fernandes R. 3. Gahlot N. 28. Gama S. 23. Kumar A. (G) 6. Kumar R. 9. Mauricio Diego 39. Naik N. 29. Singh A. A.	18. Borges R. 14. Chhetri A. 8. Drazic D. 20. Fernandes S. 41. Gupta J. 45. Raj B. (G) 9. Sadiku A. 30. Tamang N. 10. Yasir M.
Coaches
Lobera S.	Marquez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Fernandes B. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Jahouh A. (Pen),
35', Jahouh A. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Singh U. ⚽, Guarrotxena I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 3, Fernandes B. ⚽, Jhingan S. (A),
54', Moirangthem T. 🟨,
56', 1 - 4, Ranawade A. (Own goal),
60', Dori ↓, Mauricio Diego ↑,
61', Puitea ↓, Kumar R. ↑,
61', Lalrinzuala J. ↓, Gama S. ↑,
82', Ranawade A. ↓, Fernandes R. ↑,
82', Boumous H. ↓, Delgado C. ↑,
82', Fernandes B. ↓, Yasir M. ↑,
85', Guarrotxena I. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
85', Herrera B. ↓, Drazic D. ↑,
87', 2 - 4, Mawihmingthanga J. ⚽, Moirangthem T. (A),
90', Jahouh A. 🟨,
90+3', Singh U. ↓, Chhetri A. ↑,
90+4', Onaindia O. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ ISL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ ISL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Odisha is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Goa in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Goa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Odisha won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1.4:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Odisha won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odisha FC
Indian ISL
27.12.24	Mohammedan Kolkata - Odisha	0:0 ✺
12.12.24	East Bengal - Odisha	1:2 ✺
05.12.24	Odisha - Mumbai City	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Odisha - Bengaluru	4:2 ✺
25.11.24	Hyderabad - Odisha	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWTWW
- FC Goa
Indian ISL
20.12.24	Goa - ATK Mohun Bagan	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Bengaluru - Goa	2:2 ✺
04.12.24	Hyderabad - Goa	0:2 ✺
28.11.24	Kerala Blasters - Goa	0:1 ✺
06.11.24	Goa - Punjab	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Indian ISL
09.02.24	Odisha - Goa	1:1
Indian Super Cup
22.01.24	Goa - Odisha	2:3
Indian ISL
07.10.23	Goa - Odisha	3:2
06.02.23	Odisha - Goa	1:1
10.12.22	Goa - Odisha	3:0

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