Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 12

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday


	Cherepovets		Irkutsk

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.9	7.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)	3.9 ↓ (3.94)	7.33 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cherepovets
64.4%

Draw
23.3%

Irkutsk
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

23%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

22.1%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Irkutsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irkutsk than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Cherepovets - Irkutsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Motovilov F. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Polorotov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 2, Berezov D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Cherepovets have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Irkutsk is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cherepovets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cherepovets is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cherepovets won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cherepovets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cherepovets	24	10	3	11	29:37	-8	33
15	Irkutsk	24	3	2	19	11:25	-14	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cherepovets
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
07.06.26	Dynamo Vologda - Cherepovets	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	Cherepovets - Baltika 2	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Yenisey 2 - Cherepovets	4:2 ✺
17.05.26	Cherepovets - Chertanovo	1:3 ✺
11.05.26	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Cherepovets	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLLW
- FC Irkutsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
03.06.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Irkutsk	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Volga Tver - Irkutsk	3:2 ✺
24.05.26	Irkutsk - Iskra Smolensk	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Irkutsk - Spartak 2 Moscow	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Irkutsk - Luki-Energiya	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
17.08.25	Cherepovets - Irkutsk	2:1
27.04.25	Irkutsk - Cherepovets	1:1

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