Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Chernihiv Stadium (Černihiv)


	Chernihiv		Nyva Ternopil

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.10
	2.15	2.92	3.40
	2.16	2.80	3.43
	1.96	3.17	3.84	Watch
	2.14	2.95	3.38
	1.89	3.21	3.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.89)	3.03 ↓ (3.21)	3.45 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernihiv
43.8%

Draw
29.9%

Nyva Ternopil
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.8%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

26.5%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Nyva Ternopil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chernihiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nyva Ternopil than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Tatarenko M. (C) 15. Bezgubchenko D. 20. Fateev D. 2. Galstyan E. 12. Kartushov Y. 7. Myronenko D. 11. Novikov A. 44. Plakhtyr D. 33. Porokhnya A. 77. Serdyuk M. 23. Zenchenko O.	1. Mekhaniv M. (G) 45. Boryachuk A. 94. Burtnyk V. 28. Gabelok A. 30. Galas T. 77. Kasarda N. 74. Kvas K. 11. Mykhalchuk M. 33. Mysyk M. (C) 38. Paruta D. 75. Snurnitsyn I.
Substitutes
26. Azizov D. 21. Bezborodko D. 8. Bybik A. 24. Didok D. 13. Galoyan S. 99. Gerasymenko D. (G) 10. Koydan V. 87. Rogozynskyi V. 55. Romanchenko A. 6. Shalfeev Y. 3. Shumylo M. 38. Shushko P.	19. Bugaj V. 70. Dudik A. 41. Dudnyk Y. 47. Mendruk V. 17. Pezhynskyi M. 53. Pokas D. 91. Rezepov D. 23. Sharun V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Serdyuk M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 11)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Chernihiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nyva T has had a series of away games.

Chernihiv might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chernihiv won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chernihiv won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Nyva Ternopil	10	2	5	3	9:9	0	11
14	FC Chernihiv	9	1	4	4	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
29.08.26	Oleksandriya - Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Chernihiv - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Probiy Horodenka - Chernihiv	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Chernihiv - Kulykiv-Bilka	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Chernihiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTTTT
- Nyva Ternopil
Ukrainian Persha Liga
30.08.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	Nyva Ternopil - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:4 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.08.26	Inhulets - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	UCSA - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Poltava - Nyva Ternopil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
11.04.26	Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:0
28.09.25	Nyva Ternopil - Chernihiv	2:0
19.05.24	Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil	3:3
13.04.24	Nyva Ternopil - Chernihiv	0:0

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