Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Oleksandriya		Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.75	6.25
	1.48	3.75	6.30
	1.48	3.89	6.46	Watch
	1.46	3.79	6.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	3.8 ↑ (3.75)	6.41 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandriya
61.8%

Draw
24%

Chernihiv
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

24.2%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

22.9%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Oleksandriya - Chernihiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klishchuk A. (G) 3. Adamyuk V. 10. Buletsa S. (C) 2. Dmytruk T. 5. Dykhtyaruk O. 4. Gavrylyuk N. 44. Jhonnatan 8. Storchous A. 21. Tolochko R. 9. Tretyakov M. 37. Yade P.	35. Tatarenko M. (C) 21. Bezborodko D. 20. Fateev D. 2. Galstyan E. 12. Kartushov Y. 10. Koydan V. 44. Plakhtyr D. 33. Porokhnya A. 87. Rogozynskyi V. 55. Romanchenko A. 6. Shalfeev Y.
Substitutes
40. Chernysh D. 35. Danylo G. 1. Dolgyi V. (G) 83. Khan D. 79. Khmelovskyy D. 25. Kozak O. 77. Kremchanin D. 14. Kuzmyn R. 72. Makarenko N. (G) 16. Prytula O. 20. Vashchenko D.	26. Azizov D. 15. Bezgubchenko D. 24. Didok D. 13. Galoyan S. 99. Gerasymenko D. (G) 7. Myronenko D. 11. Novikov A. 77. Serdyuk M. 38. Shushko P. 23. Zenchenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, Yade P. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Relegation: ) and 11).

Oleksandriya is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chernihiv has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Oleksandriya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Oleksandriya is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Oleksandriya will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Oleksandriya	10	5	4	1	15:7	8	19
14	FC Chernihiv	9	1	4	4	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.26	Bratslav - Oleksandriya	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.08.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Oleksandriya	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Oleksandriya - Inhulets	3:0 ✺
31.07.26	UCSA - Oleksandriya	4:4 ✺
24.07.26	Oleksandriya - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWTW
- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.08.26	Chernihiv - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Probiy Horodenka - Chernihiv	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Chernihiv - Kulykiv-Bilka	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Chernihiv	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Chernihiv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTTTL

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