Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday

Location: Centralnyy (Novorossiysk)


	Chernomorets Novorossiysk		SKA Rostov

	1	X	2
	1.23	5	9.4
	1.22	5.4	10.5	Watch
	1.24	5.2	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.44)	5.2 ↑ (4.2)	9.9 ↑ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
73.5%

Draw
17.4%

SKA Rostov
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

21.7%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

20.2%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernomorets Novorossiysk's performance.

SKA Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SKA Rostov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernomorets Novorossiysk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Rostov than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk - SKA Rostov Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chernomorets will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). SKA Rostov will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chernomorets won 3.

Chernomorets in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches SKA Rostov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Chernomorets is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chernomorets to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Chernomorets won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Chernomorets won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
29.10.22	Dynamo Stavropol - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:5 ✺
22.10.22	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	3:1 ✺
15.10.22	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Druzhba Maykop	6:1 ✺
11.10.22	Legion Makhachkala - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:4 ✺
08.10.22	Alania 2 - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW
- SKA Rostov
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
29.10.22	SKA Rostov - Legion Makhachkala	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Druzhba Maykop - SKA Rostov	1:0
15.10.22	SKA Rostov - Kuban-Kholding	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - SKA Rostov	4:1 ✺
01.10.22	SKA Rostov - Rotor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 1
14.08.22	SKA Rostov - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:2
05.05.22	SKA Rostov - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:0
10.10.21	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - SKA Rostov	0:1
09.06.21	SKA Rostov - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:3
06.03.21	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - SKA Rostov	1:0
Club Friendly
18.07.20	SKA Rostov - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1
17.07.20	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - SKA Rostov	2:4

Chernomorets Novorossiysk - SKA Rostov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide