Match Info

Date: 11 October 2022, Tuesday


	Legion Makhachkala		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	7	4.3	1.34
	8	4.75	1.31	Watch
	7.2	4.4	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.4 ↑ (7.2)	4.48 ↓ (4.92)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legion Makhachkala
12.2%

Draw
20.2%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

18.4%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

17.8%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legion Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Legion Makhachkala aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Legion Makhachkala - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Legion will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Chernomorets will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chernomorets: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Group 1 (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Legion-Dynamo won 1.

Legion-Dynamo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chernomorets is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chernomorets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chernomorets is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Legion-Dynamo won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Legion-Dynamo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legion Makhachkala
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
08.10.22	Druzhba Maykop - Legion Makhachkala	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Legion Makhachkala - Alania 2	1:1 ✺
25.09.22	Kuban-Kholding - Legion Makhachkala	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Legion Makhachkala - Biolog-Novokubansk Progress	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Rotor - Legion Makhachkala	5:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLTL
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
08.10.22	Alania 2 - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
05.10.22	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
01.10.22	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Kuban-Kholding	3:0 ✺
18.09.22	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
14.09.22	Dynamo Stavropol - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 1
05.06.22	Legion Makhachkala - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:3
23.07.21	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Legion Makhachkala	Legion Dynamo awarded
15.06.21	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Legion Makhachkala	2:1
09.08.20	Legion Makhachkala - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0
Russian PFL South
03.11.19	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Legion Makhachkala	1:0
24.07.19	Legion Makhachkala - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1
11.11.18	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Legion Makhachkala	0:1

Legion Makhachkala - Chernomorets Novorossiysk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide