Match Info

Youth League - Round 10

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Chertanovo U19		Fakel Voronezh U19

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.15	5.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.62)	4.15 ↓ (4.2)	5.59 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertanovo U19
61.8%

Draw
21.9%

Fakel Voronezh U19
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

22.2%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

21.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertanovo U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Fakel Voronezh U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertanovo U19 than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel Voronezh U19 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Chertanovo U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Borisov G. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Martynovchenko V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 2 - 1, Osipyan V. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Youth League (Relegation)).

Chertanovo U19 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fakel U19's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Chertanovo U19 is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chertanovo U19 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chertanovo U19 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Chertanovo M. U19	24	6	5	13	33:55	-22	23
16	Fakel Voronezh U19	24	3	4	17	25:51	-26	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chertanovo U19
Russian Youth League
07.05.26	Dynamo Moscow U19 - Chertanovo U19	2:2 ✺
01.05.26	Chertanovo U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	3:2 ✺
24.04.26	Almaz-Antey U19 - Chertanovo U19	2:3 ✺
17.04.26	Chertanovo U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19	7:0 ✺
10.04.26	Spartak Moscow U19 - Chertanovo U19	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.7 TWWWL
- Fakel Voronezh U19
Russian Youth League
07.05.26	Fakel Voronezh U19 - CSKA Moscow U19	1:5 ✺
01.05.26	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	2:3 ✺
24.04.26	Dynamo Moscow U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Almaz-Antey U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
26.07.24	Chertanovo U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	1:0
26.04.24	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Chertanovo U19	1:1
01.09.23	Chertanovo U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	4:1
11.08.22	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Chertanovo U19	1:2

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