Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 3d 2h 📅 Remind Me


	Chester		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	4
	1.68	3.75	4.1
	1.72	3.97	4.12	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.69)	3.79 ↓ (3.82)	4.07 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
53.7%

Draw
24%

Hednesford Town
22.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.8%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

24.9%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Chester - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion - National League North Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 8th).

In recent outings, Chester has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hednesford is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Hednesford may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Chester for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Chester has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chester against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Chester	13	7	2	4	17:13	4	23
8	Hednesford	14	6	3	5	23:20	3	21

Last Results with these Odds

Chester - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 53.92%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English National League North
27.10.26	Chester - Marine	2:1 ✺
24.10.26	South Shields - Chester	3:1 ✺
10.10.26	Chester - Bedford Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Spennymoor Town - Chester	4:1 ✺
English National League North
26.09.26	Chester - Worksop Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW
- Hednesford Town
English National League North
27.10.26	Bedford Town - Hednesford Town	1:0 ✺
24.10.26	Hednesford Town - Spalding United	2:0 ✺
17.10.26	Hednesford Town - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
10.10.26	Hereford - Hednesford Town	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Hednesford Town - Radcliffe	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
17.12.19	Chester - Hednesford Town	2:1
14.12.19	Hednesford Town - Chester	0:0

Chester - Hednesford Town