Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 41

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Chesterfield		Boreham Wood

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.49	4	5.25
	1.52	4.33	5.5
	1.51	4.3	6.53
	1.51	4.13	6.53
	1.4	4.4	6
	1.49	4.3	5.72
	1.47	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.38)	4.23 ↓ (4.58)	5.8 ↓ (6.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
62.2%

Draw
21.8%

Boreham Wood
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

20%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

18.6%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesterfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chesterfield - Boreham Wood Predictions

Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tyrer H. (G) 17. Dobra A. 5. Grimes J. (C) 3. Horton B. 10. Jacobs M. 35. Jones M. 20. King J. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 21. Palmer A. 27. Quigley J.	1. Ashmore N. (G) 15. Agbontohoma D. 2. Coxe C. 12. Fyfield J. 3. Ilesanmi F. 9. Ndlovu L. 4. Payne J. 8. Sagaf M. 22. Sass-Davies B. 17. Tshimanga K. 7. Whelan T.
Substitutes
28. Banks O. 18. Berry-McNally J. 24. Curtis H. 8. Oldaker D. 12. Williams T.	14. Balanta A. 23. Clayden C. 10. Marsh T. 24. Robinson M. 19. Sousa E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Grimes J. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Grimes J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Mandeville L. ⚽,
64', Ndlovu L. ↓, Marsh T. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Grimes J. ⚽,
71', Mandeville L. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
76', Dobra A. ↓, Banks O. ↑,
80', Sass-Davies B. 🟨,
83', Quigley J. ↓, Curtis H. ↑,
89', Sagaf M. ↓, Balanta A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 3.

Recent matches Chesterfield is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boreham Wood is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boreham Wood could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chesterfield is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English National League
20.03.24	Halifax Town - Chesterfield	4:2 ✺
16.03.24	Oldham Athletic - Chesterfield	2:2 ✺
12.03.24	Chesterfield - Oxford City	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Chesterfield - Fylde	4:1 ✺
02.03.24	Dorking Wanderers - Chesterfield	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTWWL
- Boreham Wood
English National League
16.03.24	Boreham Wood - Altrincham	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Solihull Moors - Boreham Wood	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Halifax Town - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Boreham Wood - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Boreham Wood - Fylde	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
07.10.23	Boreham Wood - Chesterfield	0:2
04.02.23	Boreham Wood - Chesterfield	1:0
29.10.22	Chesterfield - Boreham Wood	2:0
12.03.22	Boreham Wood - Chesterfield	1:1
23.10.21	Chesterfield - Boreham Wood	2:1
13.04.21	Chesterfield - Boreham Wood	0:0
26.01.21	Boreham Wood - Chesterfield	0:0

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